NMSUAggies–
3:00 PM ETProps coming soon · TBD
MOSTBears–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: NMSU 25.4 – MOST 27.4
NMSU defensefaces MOST
vs QB
#87
#87 222.3 yds/gm
vs RB
#51
#51 125.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#87
#87 222.3 yds/gm
vs TE
#87
#87 222.3 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
MOST defensefaces NMSU
vs QB
#116
#116 248.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#127
#127 196.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#116
#116 248.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#116
#116 248.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.