SJSUSpartans–
7:00 PM ETProps coming soon · CBSSN
AFAFalcons–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: SJSU 21.1 – AFA 24.9 · Injury adj: starting QB out for AFA (-3.0 pts)
SJSU defensefaces AFA
vs QB
#106
#106 234.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#68
#68 141.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#106
#106 234.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#106
#106 234.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
AFA defensefaces SJSU
vs QB
#17
#17 162.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#50
#50 124.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#17
#17 162.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#17
#17 162.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.