Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
ECU
64%
-178
CLT
36%
+178
Model expected score: ECU 30.9 – CLT 24.0
Defensive Matchup Ratings
ECU defensefaces CLT
vs QB
#54
#54 198.5 yds/gm
vs RB
#72
#72 142.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#54
#54 198.5 yds/gm
vs TE
#54
#54 198.5 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
CLT defensefaces ECU
vs QB
#126
#126 263.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#116
#116 181.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#126
#126 263.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#126
#126 263.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.