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FRES
FRESBulldogs–
4:00 PM ETProps coming soon · CW
TXSTBobcats–
TXST

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
FRES
43%
+133
TXST
57%
-133
Model expected score: FRES 28.8 – TXST 32.1
Defensive Matchup Ratings
FRES defensefaces TXST
vs QB
#78
#78 215.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#73
#73 143.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#78
#78 215.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#78
#78 215.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TXST defensefaces FRES
vs QB
#138
#138 300.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#48
#48 122.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#138
#138 300.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#138
#138 300.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft

Player Board

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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.