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USU
USUAggies–
9:30 PM ETProps coming soon · USA Net
SDSUAztecs–
SDSU

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
USU
49%
+104
SDSU
51%
-104
Model expected score: USU 25.6 – SDSU 26.0
Defensive Matchup Ratings
USU defensefaces SDSU
vs QB
#83
#83 218.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#67
#67 140.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#83
#83 218.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#83
#83 218.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
SDSU defensefaces USU
vs QB
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#114
#114 176.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft

Player Board

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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.