Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
PUR
27%
+270
IOWA
73%
-270
Model expected score: PUR 20.8 – IOWA 32.5
Defensive Matchup Ratings
PUR defensefaces IOWA
vs QB
#112
#112 242.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#119
#119 183.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#112
#112 242.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#112
#112 242.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
IOWA defensefaces PUR
vs QB
#68
#68 208.7 yds/gm
vs RB
#13
#13 84.7 yds/gm
vs WR
#68
#68 208.7 yds/gm
vs TE
#68
#68 208.7 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Player props not yet available
Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.