OREDucks41
FinalCBS
OSUBuckeyes28
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: ORE 24.4 – OSU 28.5 · Injury adj: starting QB out for OSU (-3.0 pts)
ORE defensefaces OSU
vs QB
#102
#102 231.3 yds/gm
vs RB
#37
#37 113.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#102
#102 231.3 yds/gm
vs TE
#102
#102 231.3 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
OSU defensefaces ORE
vs QB
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#26
#26 99.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Dylan Raiola
ORE · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 216.5 · Avg 182.8 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +585 U -556
Luke Fahey
OSU · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 218.5 · Avg 115.8 · L5 1/4
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +342 U -333
Dierre Hill Jr.
ORE · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 47.5 · Avg 49.9 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 11.5 · Avg 29.9 · L5 4/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.9 · L5 4/5
O -174 U +130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 1/5
O +158 U -156
Bo Jackson
OSU · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 85.5 · Avg 79.6 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 12.5 · Avg 14.7 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 2 · Avg 1.9 · L5 1/5
O - U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O -179 U +180
Isaiah West
OSU · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 38.5 · Avg 27.1 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.1 · L5 1/5
O +185 U -182
Da'Jaun Riggs
ORE · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100 U -25000
Legend Bey
OSU · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -
Brandon Smith
ORE · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/4
O +388 U -385
Evan Stewart
ORE · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 47.5 · Avg 70.5 · L5 5/5
O -120 U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 5.2 · L5 2/5
O +110 U -145
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 4/5
O +364 U -357
Devin McCuin
OSU · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 31.5 · Avg 40.7 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.9 · L5 2/5
O -105 U -130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +333 U -323
Jeremiah McClellan
ORE · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 30.5 · Avg 85.0 · L5 1/2
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 3.5 · L5 1/2
O -105 U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/2
O +549 U -526
Jeremiah Smith
OSU · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 98.5 · Avg 133.4 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 7.5 · Avg 7.8 · L5 3/5
O +110 U -150
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.6 · L5 5/5
O -137 U +139
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.