Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
TENN
55%
-122
TA&M
45%
+122
Model expected score: TENN 25.5 – TA&M 23.1
Defensive Matchup Ratings
TENN defensefaces TA&M
vs QB
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#57
#57 132.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TA&M defensefaces TENN
vs QB
#44
#44 191.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#46
#46 121.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#44
#44 191.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#44
#44 191.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.