FLAGators–
6:15 PM ETProps coming soon · ESPN
UKWildcats–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: FLA 29.1 – UK 31.2
FLA defensefaces UK
vs QB
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#52
#52 126.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
UK defensefaces FLA
vs QB
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#75
#75 144.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.