Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
KU
47%
+113
WVU
53%
-113
Model expected score: KU 32.0 – WVU 33.5
Defensive Matchup Ratings
KU defensefaces WVU
vs QB
#8
#8 144.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#29
#29 100.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#8
#8 144.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#8
#8 144.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
WVU defensefaces KU
vs QB
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#109
#109 168.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.