Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
WVU
34%
+194
TTU
66%
-194
Model expected score: WVU 28.5 – TTU 36.4
Defensive Matchup Ratings
WVU defensefaces TTU
vs QB
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#109
#109 168.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TTU defensefaces WVU
vs QB
#125
#125 262.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#18
#18 91.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#125
#125 262.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#125
#125 262.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Thomas Castellanos
TTU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 216.5 · Avg 37.8 · L5 0/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 66.5 · Avg 36.4 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O -145U +146
QB
Michael Hawkins Jr.
WVU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 184.5 · Avg 199.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 79.5 · Avg 104.5 · L5 4/5
O +100U -132
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 2.0 · L5 5/5
O -164U +167
RB
Cam Cook
WVU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 89.5 · Avg 115.4 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 12.5 · Avg 16.4 · L5 4/5
O -120U -110
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.6 · L5 2/5
O -190U +140
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.1 · L5 4/5
O -147U +149
RB
J'Koby Williams
TTU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 99.5 · Avg 99.2 · L5 2/5
O +100U -152
Rec Yds
Line 14.5 · Avg 20.8 · L5 2/5
O +100U -
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 3.1 · L5 3/5
O +125U -170
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O -495U -
RB
Cameron Dickey
TTU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 58.5 · Avg 45.7 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 3.5 · Avg 15.0 · L5 4/4
O -120U -110
Receptions
Line 0.5 · Avg 1.5 · L5 4/4
O -200U +150
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O -105U +106
RB
Quinten Joyner
TTU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +100U -
RB
Amari Latimer
WVU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +100U -
RB
Ashton Rowden
TTU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100U -
WR
Micah Hudson
TTU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 34.5 · Avg 20.1 · L5 0/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 1.9 · L5 1/5
O -125U -105
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +236U -233
WR
DJ Epps
WVU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 45.5 · Avg 92.7 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.7 · L5 2/5
O +125U -160
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +232U -227
WR
Prince Strachan
WVU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 34.5 · Avg 55.0 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.8 · L5 4/5
O -190U +140
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +365U -357
WR
Coy Eakin
TTU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 26.5 · Avg 37.6 · L5 3/5
O -128U -128
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +100U -
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.