UKWildcats6
FinalESPN
TENNVolunteers34
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: UK 24.5 – TENN 31.0
UK defensefaces TENN
vs QB
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#75
#75 144.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TENN defensefaces UK
vs QB
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#57
#57 132.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Kenny Minchey
UK · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 204.5 · Avg 219.4 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 5.5 · Avg 4.8 · L5 3/5
O -129 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 2/5
O +287 U -286
George MacIntyre
TENN · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 198.5 · Avg 121.3 · L5 1/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +372 U -370
CJ Baxter
UK · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 55.5 · Avg 69.6 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 5.5 · Avg 13.4 · L5 3/5
O -110 U -120
Receptions
Line 0.5 · Avg 1.6 · L5 5/5
O -240 U +170
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.1 · L5 4/5
O +152 U -149
DeSean Bishop
TENN · 3 props
Rush Yds
Line 129.5 · Avg 119.6 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 8.5 · Avg 12.8 · L5 4/5
O +123 U -127
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.4 · L5 4/5
O -370 U -
Jovantae Barnes
UK · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +356 U -345
Daune Morris
TENN · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 0/5
O +384 U -370
Javin Gordon
TENN · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +248 U -244
Mike Matthews
TENN · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 59.5 · Avg 66.0 · L5 3/5
O -122 U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 4.2 · L5 2/5
O -120 U -110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +179 U -179
Braylon Staley
TENN · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 44.5 · Avg 32.4 · L5 3/5
O -110 U -120
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 4.0 · L5 3/5
O -136 U +102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 0/5
O +264 U -263
Ja'Kayden Ferguson
UK · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 14.0 · L5 1/5
O -128 U -128
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.4 · L5 1/5
O +100 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +1171 U -1111
Kenny Darby
UK · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 45.5 · Avg 63.4 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 4.8 · L5 2/5
O +105 U -135
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 1/5
O +330 U -323
DJ Miller
UK · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 37.5 · Avg 55.2 · L5 3/4
O -121 U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 4.5 · L5 4/4
O +110 U -145
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +301 U -294
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.