VANCommodores25
FinalSEC Network
MSSTBulldogs23
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: VAN 25.5 – MSST 30.9
VAN defensefaces MSST
vs QB
#77
#77 214.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#55
#55 128.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#77
#77 214.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#77
#77 214.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
MSST defensefaces VAN
vs QB
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#43
#43 119.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Jared Curtis
VAN · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 239.5 · Avg 212.7 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 19.5 · Avg 21.4 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 0/5
O +227 U -222
AJ Swann
MSST · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/1
O +100 U -
Sedrick Alexander
VAN · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 34.5 · Avg 34.2 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 16.5 · Avg 17.6 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 2/5
O +115 U -150
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +175 U -172
Fluff Bothwell
MSST · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 89.5 · Avg 80.4 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 10.5 · Avg 19.5 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.2 · L5 2/5
O +154 U -210
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 1/5
O -156 U +158
Makhilyn Young
VAN · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +227 U -222
Xavier Gayten
MSST · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100 U -
Kolin Wilson
MSST · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -
J.J. Hill
MSST · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/4
O +100 U -
Jamezell Lassiter
VAN · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.1 · L5 1/5
O +1095 U -1000
Anthony Evans III
MSST · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 61.5 · Avg 83.2 · L5 2/5
O -128 U -128
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 7.0 · L5 4/5
O +102 U -136
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 1/5
O +147 U -145
Marquis Johnson
MSST · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 36.5 · Avg 40.0 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.0 · L5 2/5
O +112 U -148
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 0/5
O +300 U -294
Junior Sherrill
VAN · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 90.5 · Avg 88.2 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 6.5 · Avg 6.1 · L5 3/5
O -135 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +105 U -104
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.